San Diego
Building Resilience
How San Diego Went from a Single Supplier to Innovation and Surplus
Urgency: Facing the 1991 Shortage
In the early 1990s the San Diego County Water Authority received 95% of its water from a single source, the Metropolitan Water District of Southern California. In February 1991, as the drought worsened, Metropolitan cut deliveries to the San Diego region by 31%, and the cuts lasted more than a year. Local business and community leaders asked the Water Authority why it depended on a single source for virtually all of its water.1 The path from crisis to surplus was catalyzed by urgency, driven by innovation, and leveraged through partnership.
That question and the frustration that built among citizens and businesses became a mandate. Since 1991 the region has conserved more than 1 million acre-feet of water. Over 35 years, per capita demand has fallen by half, and the Water Authority now describes its supplies as being sustainable at least through 2050.2
Innovation: Building the Resources
The answer to that mandate was in developing the capacity the region would own or control:
The Emergency Storage Program is a system of reservoirs, pipelines, and pump stations. After a disaster such as an earthquake, it is designed to provide member agencies with 75% of normal supply for up to two months with no imported water and up to six months with limited imports. Its effectiveness depends on the aqueduct system staying in operation.3 San Vicente Dam was raised 117 feet, more than doubling the reservoir's capacity. The Water Authority holds storage rights to 157,100 acre-feet of capacity there: 52,100 for emergencies and 105,000 for carryover storage in dry years.4
The Twin Oaks Valley Water Treatment Plant, completed in 2008, can produce 100 million gallons of treated water a day.5 Working from its asset-management data, the Water Authority has relined 50 of the roughly 80 miles of prestressed concrete cylinder pipe in its system and rehabilitated five flow control facilities over four decades. It credits relining one Pipeline 5 segment with adding 75 years of service life. In fiscal year 2026 it declared a 25-year extension to the expected life of the treated portion of the First Aqueduct, after condition assessment and rehabilitation.6
The Water Authority monitors its prestressed concrete pipelines with an acoustic fiber-optic system that detects wire breaks; it also lists electromagnetic inspection and an underwater remotely operated vehicle among its asset-management tools.7 The City of San Diego and the Water Authority are now assessing the feasibility of further developing San Vicente through the construction of a 500-megawatt pumped storage energy project.8
The most distinctive piece was a water supply source that does not depend on the fluctuations of seasonal drought, built through a public-private partnership. On December 20, 2012, the Water Authority entered a 30-year Water Purchase Agreement with Poseidon, the private developer of the Claude "Bud" Lewis Carlsbad Desalination Plant. Poseidon built the plant with the Water Authority committed to buy the produced water: 48,000 acre-feet a year, if available, on take-or-pay terms, with an option for 8,000 acre-feet more at a lower rate. Commercial operation began on December 23, 2015. The plant changed hands in 2019 and is now operated and maintained by Channelside Water Resources; the Water Authority owns the ten-mile pipeline that connects it to the regional system.9
The Water Authority calls it the nation's largest seawater desalination plant, with a capacity of about 50 million gallons a day.10 That reliability has a price, and the Water Authority chose to pay it. Its 2027 rate study puts the supply cost of Carlsbad water at $3,493 an acre-foot and Imperial Valley transfer water at $1,539, compared to $1,030 for untreated water from Metropolitan.11 Metropolitan's supply is the cheapest of the three, but the other two are what the region added after 1991 so it would not be dependent on a single source. The region's ratepayers carry the difference, but stand to benefit from the flexibility those supplies provide.
A fixed Supply Reliability Charge bills every member agency for a quarter of the premium, $51.3 million for 2027, because, in the study's words, "access to reliable supply benefits all member agencies regardless of whether the agency purchases water every day or intermittently." The Water Authority's budget calls Carlsbad "a drought-proof local treated water supply." The premium works like an insurance payment, and the gap may be closing. The study expects Metropolitan's rate to rise faster than the cost of the region's own reliable supplies in 2028.12
Partnership: Expanding the Resilience of Neighbors, Securing Additional Resources
The investment in resilience changed the region's position. Despite getting less rain in an average year than Tucson, San Diego has become an active partner in collaborative and creative efforts to manage water across the region and beyond.13
Two agreements sit inside the 2003 Colorado River Quantification Settlement Agreement. The first, signed with the Imperial Irrigation District in 1998, transfers conserved water and ramps up to 200,000 acre-feet a year. The second secured 77,700 acre-feet a year saved by lining the All-American and Coachella canals, investments that the Water Authority and the State paid for jointly. The settlement requires the Water Authority to buy all 277,700 acre-feet every year on take-or-pay terms. The Imperial transfer runs to 2047 and can be extended 30 years by mutual agreement. The canal-lining water runs to 2112. The Water Authority describes the resulting supplies as tied to high-priority rights on the Colorado River.14
A June 2025 settlement ended a 15-year legal dispute with Metropolitan over rates, fixed the rates for moving the Water Authority's own supplies through Metropolitan's system, and created a formal pathway for exchanges with Metropolitan's member agencies and Metropolitan itself.15 In October 2026 Metropolitan's board unanimously elected Martin Miller as its next chair. Miller, the Water Authority's representative on that board since 2021, is the first representative from San Diego to lead the board in Metropolitan's nearly 100-year history.16
In 2026 the Water Authority's Board approved long-term exchange agreements with Western Municipal Water District (March), Eastern Municipal Water District (April), and the City of Burbank (August). With later increases for Western and Eastern, commitments total 37,500 acre-feet a year at full ramp-up. The sales run as exchanges rather than physical deliveries, and the Western and Eastern agreements are built into the 2027 rates. The Board set a 3% effective increase for 2027, with the supply rate held flat "largely due to the financial benefits associated with the third-party water agreements." Two former member agencies, Fallbrook and Rainbow, left the Water Authority in 2024 and annexed into Eastern. Rainbow is one of the retail agencies taking part in Eastern's expanded commitment.17
In February 2026 the Board unanimously approved an agreement to explore interstate water transfers and exchanges, and the parties have since executed it. The other parties are the Bureau of Reclamation, Metropolitan, the Southern Nevada Water Authority, the Arizona Department of Water Resources, Salt River Project, and the Central Arizona Water Conservation District. The agreement covers supplies produced by seawater desalination or advanced water purification, such as Carlsbad's, and exchanges would happen "on paper," through existing aqueducts. The Water Authority says such a program has never been achieved in the Lower Colorado River Basin. The agreement itself creates no financial benefit and commits no party to a project. In September the Water Authority reported that the parties are evaluating an initial pilot of about 10,000 acre-feet, and its bond disclosure that month named a goal of a first exchange as early as 2027.18
What It Costs, and What to Watch
Resilience is not free. The Water Authority's effective rate increases were 14% for 2025, 8.3% for 2026, and 3% for 2027. The increases came as two wet winters left water sales nearly 15% below budget and Metropolitan raised its own charges; still, the partnerships are part of how the region now pays for its insurance.19
Three things to watch:
On August 21, the Secretary of the Interior signed a Record of Decision setting a ten-year framework for Lake Powell and Lake Mead, with operating guidelines for 2027 and 2028. The guidelines cut Lower Basin deliveries by 1.25 million acre-feet in each of those years. If Arizona, California, and Nevada implement their proposed sharing agreement, Arizona's share of the cut is 760,000 acre-feet a year, California's 440,000 (a tenth of its normal 4.4 million), and Nevada's 50,000. Without that agreement, the Secretary sets each state's share under applicable law.20
The three states have until the new year to formalize that agreement. As of October 1st, they were still finalizing it, and California was still settling how its own water users would share the cut.21
In August the State of Nevada, the Colorado River Commission of Nevada, and the Southern Nevada Water Authority sued in federal court to set the decision aside.22
Mexico has taken their own cuts. Under Minute 334, signed with the United States in September, its deliveries fall by 250,000 acre-feet a year in 2027 and 2028.23
About 10,000 acre-feet is under evaluation, with a stated goal of a first exchange as early as 2027 and no party yet committed. If the three-state agreement takes effect, the federal guidelines leave room for such exchanges. Nothing in them precludes new kinds of Lake Mead storage credit, known as Intentionally Created Surplus (ICS), "such as ICS created through interstate exchanges involving a non-Colorado River supply." Their development is subject to the Secretary's review and approval, and to "the applicable forbearance." Without the three-state agreement, no new ICS may be created after 2026. Those guidelines are also what Nevada is asking the court to set aside, and the Southern Nevada Water Authority is both a plaintiff in that suit and a party to the interstate exploration agreement. Metropolitan, another party to that agreement, said the guidelines "create a pathway for interstate exchanges." A first exchange of this kind would set a precedent beyond San Diego.24
Since December 2025 the Water Authority has had the right, though not the obligation, to buy the plant at any time, and after 30 years of operation, in December 2045, it has the option to buy the plant for $1. In April 2025 staff recommended that purchase discussions start no earlier than 2035, citing "the potential purchase price and other related obligations."25
Why It Matters Beyond Water
When I arrived in San Diego, one of the first things I wanted to learn about was water security. I was impressed and surprised to learn how much storage the region had built. What drew me in further was how the region used that capacity to build innovative partnerships, treating water not as a zero-sum game but as a shared resource that demands collaboration. That matters not just because water is vital to the region, but because the order of events can teach us about facing other critical challenges.
A crisis created a mandate, the mandate built the assets, the assets created leverage, and the leverage became a path to developing innovative partnerships. Building the capacity of core systems that fuel the larger economic and social fabric follows similar sequences. The hard part is identifying the right investments and building the partnerships that turn mandates into assets, and assets into options for meeting the challenges ahead.
Public sources through October 13, 2026.
Notes
- Water News Network (San Diego County Water Authority), "1990s: Drought Prompts Supply Diversification Strategy," August 2, 2018.
- San Diego County Water Authority, 2024 Water Facilities Master Plan (water conserved since 1991); Interstate Water Transfer MOU FAQ, June 2026 (per capita demand; supplies through 2050).
- 2024 Water Facilities Master Plan; Annual Comprehensive Financial Report, Fiscal Year 2025 (reservoirs, pipelines, and pump stations).
- San Diego County Water Authority, Annual Comprehensive Financial Report, Fiscal Year 2025 (the dam raise); 2024 Water Facilities Master Plan (storage rights).
- Board of Directors meeting packet, June 25, 2026 (Capacity Charge Study).
- Annual Comprehensive Financial Report, Fiscal Year 2025 (relining and flow control facilities); Adopted Budget, Fiscal Years 2026 and 2027 (miles of pipe; Pipeline 5); Aqueduct Operating Plan 2026-27, in the July 23, 2026 Board packet (First Aqueduct).
- 2024 Water Facilities Master Plan (acoustic fiber-optic monitoring); Special Board Workshop on the Capital Improvement Program, October 9, 2025 (asset management tools); Aqueduct Operating Plan 2026-27, in the July 23, 2026 Board packet (electromagnetic inspection).
- San Diego County Water Authority, "San Vicente Energy Storage Facility"; Annual Comprehensive Financial Report, Fiscal Year 2025, which describes a joint City of San Diego and Water Authority study of a 500-megawatt pumped storage facility at the reservoir; Official Statement, Water Revenue Bonds, Series 2026A, September 2026, Appendix A (the project's status).
- Annual Comprehensive Financial Report, Fiscal Year 2025; Adopted Budget, Fiscal Years 2026 and 2027 (the 8,000 acre-foot option); 2024 Water Facilities Master Plan (take-or-pay, if available); Official Statement, Water Revenue Bonds, Series 2026A, September 2026, Appendix A (construction by Poseidon; the 2019 change of ownership).
- San Diego County Water Authority, "Board Approves Federal, Interstate Partnership on Colorado River," February 26, 2026 (the nation's largest); Annual Comprehensive Financial Report, Fiscal Year 2025 and 2024 Water Facilities Master Plan (capacity).
- Cost of Service Study for 2027 rates and charges, Table 15, in the June 25, 2026 Board packet.
- Cost of Service Study, in the June 25, 2026 Board packet (the Supply Reliability Charge and the 2028 outlook); Adopted Budget, Fiscal Years 2026 and 2027 ("drought-proof"); Administrative and Finance Committee memo, June 17, 2026, and Ordinance No. 2026-01, in the same June 25 packet (how the charge is allocated).
- NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, 1991-2020 climate normals, annual precipitation: San Diego Lindbergh Field, 9.79 inches; Tucson International Airport, 10.61 inches.
- 2024 Water Facilities Master Plan (the 1998 agreement, the canal lining agreement, take-or-pay); Annual Comprehensive Financial Report, Fiscal Year 2025 (terms); Interstate Water Transfer MOU FAQ (high-priority rights).
- Annual Comprehensive Financial Report, Fiscal Year 2025; Official Statement, Water Revenue Bonds, Series 2026A, September 2026.
- Metropolitan Water District, "Metropolitan board of directors elects Martin Miller as new board chair," October 13, 2026.
- Imported Water Committee memo, September 9, 2026, in the September 17, 2026 Board packet (the agreements, 37,500 acre-feet, Rainbow's participation); June 25, 2026 Board packet (exchanges; 2027 rates); the June 25, 2026 Board minutes, in the July 23, 2026 Board packet (adoption of the 2027 rates); Annual Comprehensive Financial Report, Fiscal Year 2025 (Fallbrook left January 1, 2024; Rainbow, November 1, 2024); Rainbow Municipal Water District, Annual Comprehensive Financial Report, Fiscal Year 2024-25 (annexation into Eastern); Fallbrook Public Utility District, "Here's why we switched to Eastern MWD from the Water Authority."
- "Board Approves Federal, Interstate Partnership on Colorado River," February 26, 2026; Interstate Water Transfer MOU FAQ; Imported Water Committee memo, September 9, 2026, in the September 17, 2026 Board packet; Official Statement, Water Revenue Bonds, Series 2026A, September 2026, Appendix A (the goal of a first exchange as early as 2027).
- Adopted Budget, Fiscal Years 2026 and 2027 (the 2025 and 2026 increases; fiscal 2025 sales after two wet winters; Metropolitan increases passed through); June 25, 2026 Board packet (2027); the June 25, 2026 Board minutes, in the July 23, 2026 Board packet (adoption).
- Bureau of Reclamation, "Interior Department Finalizes Plans for 2027-2028 Colorado River Operations," August 21, 2026; 2027-2028 Operating Guidelines, sections 5.3 and 5.9; Metropolitan Water District, Report on Development of Post-2026 Guidelines, Subcommittee on Imported Water, August 25, 2026 (California's normal 4.4 million acre-feet).
- KJZZ, "New Colorado River rules start Oct. 1, but questions linger about Arizona water cutbacks," October 1, 2026; Metropolitan Water District, "Metropolitan issues statement on release of 2027-2028 guidelines, ROD for Colorado River operations," August 21, 2026.
- Office of the Governor of Nevada, "Nevada Files Lawsuit Against Department of the Interior over Colorado River Operations Record of Decision," August 24, 2026.
- International Boundary and Water Commission, "United States and Mexico announce Colorado River cooperative agreement," September 9, 2026.
- 2027-2028 Operating Guidelines, sections 5.4 and 5.4.C.7; Metropolitan Water District statement, August 21, 2026 (note 21); Interstate Water Transfer MOU FAQ and the September 9, 2026 Imported Water Committee memo (the pilot); Official Statement, Water Revenue Bonds, Series 2026A, September 2026, Appendix A (the 2027 goal; no party committed); the Nevada suit (note 22).
- San Diego County Water Authority, Official Statement, Water Revenue Bonds, Series 2026A, September 2026, Appendix A; Board of Directors meeting packet, April 24, 2025 (staff answer to a director's question).